How the AGR® Measures Risk
The Accounting & Governance Risk (AGR®) rating is an assessment of the quality and transparency of corporate behavior. Our clients use AGR® analysis because it works – see our Scorecards and White Papers (to the right) along with research reports to study our proven results.
Developed by industry experts, the AGR rating has been extensively back tested with 10+ years of historical data. This proprietary measure of risk is based on objective statistical assessments of high-risk behavior, measuring multiple financial and non-financial criteria.
The AGR Methodology
The AGR® Process
The Audit Integrity Accounting and Governance Risk (AGR®) rating is a forensic measure of the transparency and statistical reliability of a corporation’s financial reporting and governance practices. The focus of AGR analysis is on identifying the measures most highly associated with fraud, and quantifying those risks for interested stakeholders in relation to company stock price, securities litigation, and major restatement probabilities.
Audit Integrity applies over 100 accounting and governance metrics to a company’s publicly filed information. The resulting calculation produces the AGR, a percentile score ranging from 0 to 100, with corresponding ratings from Very Aggressive to Conservative. Companies rated Very Aggressive or Aggressive have proven to be much more likely to face class action litigation and financial restatements, and to suffer severe equity loss. Conversely, those companies that have been consistently rated Conservative have been shown to be the most trustworthy.
Areas of Concern to Stakeholders
- Corporate Governance – compensation, management changes, financial reporting, insider trading and other governance issues are key fraud indicators.
- High-risk Events – M&A, divestitures, restructurings, share repurchases, equity financing and other events associated with fraud.
- Revenue Recognition – accelerating top-line growth through premature, nonrecurring or fictitious revenue activity.
- Expense Recognition – deferring/delaying expenses to improve margins by capitalizing or amortizing expenses.
- Asset-Liability Valuation – over-valuing assets (receivables), under-stating liabilities (payables), manipulating reserves (pensions).
How the AGR® is produced

Risk Model Scorecards
Our AGR Equity Factor can provide both quantitative and fundamental investors with significant excess returns (Alpha).
Our Class Action Litigation Model provides insurers and other stakeholders with accurate indication of litigation risk.
Audit Integrity’s Bankruptcy model achieved 90.9% predictivity in 2008 and 93.8% in 2009.


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